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France vs Spain – 14 Jul 2026

France
Semi-finals
Finished
France
Home
0 : 2
Final score
Spain
Away
14 July 2026 · 19:00 UTC
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France go into this semi-final as slight favourites, but recent history favours Spain — de la Fuente's side beat Les Bleus in both of their last two knockout meetings (Euro 2024 semi-final and the 2025 Nations League final). That head-to-head record adds an extra layer of intrigue to what's already a mouth-watering tie.

France's attacking threat remains their biggest weapon. Kylian Mbappé is expected to start after avoiding a serious injury from a heavy blow in the quarter-final win over Morocco, with Ousmane Dembélé and Michael Olise offering further quality in the final third. Aurélien Tchouaméni also looks set to return in midfield after recovering from a thigh issue, which should help France control the tempo against Spain's press.

Spain, meanwhile, bring their usual possession-heavy approach, built around the young talents of Lamin Yamal and Nico Williams on the flanks. Their conversion rate hasn't always matched their dominance of the ball, but their bench impact — particularly Mikel Merino, who's already had a say in two knockout games — makes them dangerous late on.

Prediction: Given the tight margins in their recent meetings, this looks like another close encounter. A draw inside 90 minutes wouldn't be a surprise, with the Draw offering solid value given how competitive this fixture has become in the last two editions. If forced to pick a winner, France's attacking depth edges it — but only marginally.

Tips
Combo Double chance : draw or Spain and -3.5 goals
Home 10%
Draw45%
Away 45%
Win
Spain
or draw
Total
Over -3.5
goals in the match
Overall rating
42.2%
Home team advantage
Team comparison
France Spain
50% Form 50%
50% Defence 50%
0% Poisson 100%
20% H2H 80%
37% Goals 63%
Form - last 5 matches
France
WWWWW
100% form · 2.6 goal/game
Spain
WWWWW
100% form · 2.2 goal/game
One-on-one (H2H)
5 Jun 2025
Spain — France
5 – 4
Spain
9 Jul 2024
Spain — France
2 – 1
Spain
10 Oct 2021
Spain — France
1 – 2
France
28 Mar 2017
France — Spain
0 – 2
Spain
23 Jun 2012
Spain — France
2 – 0
Spain
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